SOURCE · [1448] · LINK
www.fooledbyrandomness.com/longpeace.pdf ↗
Criticized here
1 BOOKCriticized by Nassim Taleb
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The Better Angels of Our Nature
In 'The Long Peace is a Statistical Illusion' (with Pasquale Cirillo), Taleb argues against the book's central thesis that violence has structurally declined, contending war casualties follow a fat-tailed distribution where long quiet periods are statistically expected and say nothing about a real decline.