www.fooledbyrandomness.com/longpeace.pdf ↗

Criticized by Nassim Taleb

• 
  The Better Angels of Our Nature

  The Better Angels of Our Nature

  Steven Pinker

  In 'The Long Peace is a Statistical Illusion' (with Pasquale Cirillo), Taleb argues against the book's central thesis that violence has structurally declined, contending war casualties follow a fat-tailed distribution where long quiet periods are statistically expected and say nothing about a real decline.